76433 Home Values
76433 Market Snapshot
| Active 80 listings | New 13 30 days | Closed 9 30 days | Pending 1 30 days | Supply 14.1 months | Absorption 10% monthly | Over List 2.5% sold above | Under List 48.1% sold below | Concessions 24.1% % of solds | Avg Concession $11,807 seller paid |
Source: NTREIS MLS • Excludes leases • May 2026
76433 Market Trends
Hill Country Acreage Draws New Construction
The 76433 corridor stretches across the rolling limestone hills of eastern Erath County, anchored by the Mountain Lakes Ranch community in Bluff Dale. Housing stock splits cleanly: vacant one-to-five-acre lots line the quieter inlets of Beacon Lake, while finished homes sit on groomed acreage with metal-roof farmhouses and stone-accented builds.
The negotiation gap in 76433 widened noticeably in the most recent quarter, with sellers giving back nearly five cents on the dollar at closing — a measurable step down from the trailing annual average. Based on MLS data for 2026-05 closings in 76433, roughly one in three transactions carried a seller concession, with the average concession amount roughly doubling compared to the twelve-month baseline. Two-thirds of homes sold below list price, and no closings exceeded asking, signaling that buyer resistance is setting the terms. With fewer than fifteen closings this quarter, price signals carry wide confidence intervals, but the directional shift in concession behavior is consistent across the limited sample.
The pipeline in 76433 reflects a market where supply far outpaces buyer activity. With nearly nineteen months of supply on hand and pending contracts having dropped sharply relative to the annual pace, the absorption rate suggests demand has thinned considerably. New listing activity continues to enter the market even as closed volume contracts — a dynamic that typically widens the supply cushion further. With fewer than a dozen pending contracts in the current snapshot, near-term closing volume is likely to remain limited, reinforcing the conditions that gave buyers room at the negotiating table.
Market Updates
The negotiation gap in 76433 widened noticeably in the most recent quarter, with sellers giving back nearly five cents on the dollar at closing — a measurable step down from the trailing annual average. Based on MLS data for 2026-05 closings in 76433, roughly one in three transactions carried a seller concession, with the average concession amount roughly doubling compared to the twelve-month baseline. Two-thirds of homes sold below list price, and no closings exceeded asking, signaling that buyer resistance is setting the terms. With fewer than fifteen closings this quarter, price signals carry wide confidence intervals, but the directional shift in concession behavior is consistent across the limited sample.
The pipeline in 76433 reflects a market where supply far outpaces buyer activity. With nearly nineteen months of supply on hand and pending contracts having dropped sharply relative to the annual pace, the absorption rate suggests demand has thinned considerably. New listing activity continues to enter the market even as closed volume contracts — a dynamic that typically widens the supply cushion further. With fewer than a dozen pending contracts in the current snapshot, near-term closing volume is likely to remain limited, reinforcing the conditions that gave buyers room at the negotiating table.
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Market data last updated Jun 1, 2026, 6:00 AM CDT · Editorial updated May 31, 2026, 7:05 AM CDT
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